Pete Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$444k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

8%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
$60.2m Liq.
🔥$297k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

81%

Nicolás Maduro

$96.2m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$89k today
385
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$705.7m Vol.
$52.5m Liq.
440
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

35%

Steve Witkoff

$750k Vol.
$329k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

29%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

60%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$253k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$827k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$391k Vol.
$249k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?

No

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?

John Curtis

$315k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

No

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
117
Ended