Pete Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$444k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

8%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.4m Vol.
$51.7m Liq.
🔥$786k today
440
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

51%

Delcy Rodríguez

$96.4m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$301k today
395
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$283k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$751k Vol.
$325k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$838k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$391k Vol.
$252k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$405 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended