Iran Predictions & Odds· 1582 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$573k Liq.
🔥$410k today
1,090
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

94%

September 20

$543k Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$363k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.1m Vol.
$888k Liq.
🔥$201k today
Ends in 11 days
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$67.1m Vol.
$836k Liq.
🔥$99k today
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$251k Liq.
🔥$57k today
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

94%

September 30

$30.5m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$54k today
292
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.7m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$51k today
156
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$78k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

25%

December 31

$9.6m Vol.
$41k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

35%

Steve Witkoff

$750k Vol.
$320k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

5%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$160k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

26%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$120k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$127k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

7%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$153k Liq.
218
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

30%

October 31

$90k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

3%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

8%

Yes

$144k Vol.
$413 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months