Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 862 markets

A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

73%

December 31, 2026

$3.6m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$91k today
48
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%

$2.0–$2.25T

$806k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$19k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$45k Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

96%

600B+

$493k Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

58%

November 2026

$248k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

84%

1.8T+

$458k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$783 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$1.5T

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

94%

Anthropic

$373k Vol.
$52k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$438 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$62k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

89%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$86 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
D
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%

Yes

$11 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year