Fund Predictions & Odds· 228 markets

S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

6%

Yes

$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

15%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$60 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

24%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

54%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$443k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$197k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

67%

VAT federal decree

$8k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$685 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

8%

October 31

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

14%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$629 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$187k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

79%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$237k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

50%

3.7%+

$35k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump weaponization fund blocked by...?

May 31

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

No

$393k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
E
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

December 19

$532k Vol.
$0 Liq.
79
Ended