Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$100k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

42%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$168k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$4.5m Vol.
$422k Liq.
🔥$319k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

13%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

23%

Yes

$466k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$247k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

29%

September 28

$18k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 days
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

49%

October 31

$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$76k Vol.
$67k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 30

$31.8m Vol.
$374k Liq.
🔥$88k today
300
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$328k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the Champion of Coal event?

Coal 15+ times

$118k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended