Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$101k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

35%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$130k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$4.9m Vol.
$411k Liq.
🔥$214k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

9%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 24 hours
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

1%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$476k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

12%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$246k Liq.
🔥$72k today
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

58%

September 30

$19k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in about 21 hours
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

35%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

20%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$84k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 30

$31.9m Vol.
$338k Liq.
🔥$96k today
300
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$140k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$328k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months