Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
465
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$404k Vol.
$45k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$77k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$17k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

61%

Darijana Filipović

$43k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

95%

Željka Cvijanović

$37k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$11k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

73%

Denis Bećirović

$56k Vol.
$6k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

No Meeting by December 31

$39k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$591k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

60%

December 31, 2026

$83k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Premier of Victoria

Next Premier of Victoria

74%

Jess Wilson

$24k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
409
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
I
Iceland Presidential Election Winner

Halla Tómasdóttir

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
M
Malawi Vice President's plane found by Tuesday?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended