Primaries Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$89 Vol.
$95 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$191 Liq.
2
Ends in 21 days
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$319 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$329 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will win the primaries of Les Républicains in France?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Mamdani team sweeps primaries?

Yes

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
H
How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

2

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
T
Trump's best state on Super Tuesday?

Alaska

$438k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
T

Colin Allred

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Adam Schiff

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
C
California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Schiff wins

$271k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NY-14 Democratic Primary Winner

elections 2024 · u.s. 2024 elections

NY-14 Democratic Primary Winner

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
D
Democratic Blitz primary?

No

$346k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-4
Ended
M
Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Winner

Angela Alsobrooks

$120k Vol.
$105 Liq.
Ended