Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 143 markets

U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72%

March 31

$33.4m Vol.
$544k Liq.
🔥$670k today
672
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$475k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
T
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

86%

November 30

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$100k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

38%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$169k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

39%

Yes

$803 Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

July 31

$207 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

20%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$714 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
T
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Yes

$236k Vol.
$0 Liq.
271
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)

President DJT

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Intel say during their next earnings call?

Panther Lake

$122 Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other

$353k Vol.
$2 Liq.
27
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Pete Hegseth

$14.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
321
Ended