Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 223 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$445k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.2m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$314k today
445
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.3m Liq.
🔥$102k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$52.3m Liq.
🔥$101k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$788k Vol.
$324k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$400k Vol.
$367k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

29%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$240k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$930k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Hegseth say during press conference on April 8?

God is Good

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Hegseth say during Fox interview?

Trump 5+ times

$329k Vol.
$0 Liq.
83
Ended