AI Predictions & Odds· 2070 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 11 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$508k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$334k Vol.
$412k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$948k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$285k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

71%

Alibaba

$97k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

47%

Hodge Conjecture

$23k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

54%

Google

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$112k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$125k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

54%

Anthropic

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months