Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 208 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$269k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$908k Liq.
217
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

48%

December 31

$190k Vol.
$39k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

71%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$346 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
L
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

52%

paiN Gaming

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

53%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$545 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

9%

Yes

$64 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

16%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

29%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?

22%

Yes

$116 Vol.
$215 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

24%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

11%

Bahrain

$60k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$78k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month