Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 476 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

30%

Yes

$12k Vol.
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W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

85%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

56%

Trump

$6k Vol.
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W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

Tech

$8k Vol.
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Ends in 3 days
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$44k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$892 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

78%

March 31

$31.7m Vol.
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610
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W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

30%

USA

$28k Vol.
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U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
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25
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N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
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T
Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?

No

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
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U
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Trump Announce Fed

$58k Vol.
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5
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

No

$184k Vol.
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43
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What will Trump say during news conference on April 6?

Iran / Iranian 15+ times

$504k Vol.
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94
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What will Trump say during his remarks in Arlington?

Radical Left

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What will Trump say during remarks at the Pentagon?

Beautiful 4+ times

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4
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What will Trump say during Friday roundtable?

Million / Billion 15+ times

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2
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What will Trump say during Tele-Rally on July 28?

Iran 2+ times

$8k Vol.
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W
What will Trump say on Fox News: Fox & Friends?

Biden / Obama 4+ times

$32k Vol.
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2
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