Pete Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m Vol.
$60.0m Liq.
🔥$306k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$160k today
460
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.5m Vol.
$51.7m Liq.
🔥$70k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

70%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$205k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

58%

None before 2027

$74k Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$892k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$277k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$403 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$293 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended