Pete Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.6m Vol.
$59.6m Liq.
🔥$312k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.5m Vol.
$51.4m Liq.
🔥$130k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

59%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$118k today
455
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

78%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$232k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 9 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$280k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$262k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$900k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
S
St. Tropez (Doubles): Arneodo/Kittay vs Grevelius/Heinonen

Tennis · Sports

St. Tropez (Doubles): Arneodo/Kittay vs Grevelius/Heinonen

50%

Arneodo/Kittay

$0 Vol.
$421 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
M25 Falun: Christian Sigsgaard vs Henry Bernet

Tennis · Sports

M25 Falun: Christian Sigsgaard vs Henry Bernet

2%

Christian Sigsgaard

$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
St. Tropez: Edas Butvilas vs Harold Mayot

Tennis · Sports

St. Tropez: Edas Butvilas vs Harold Mayot

56%

Edas Butvilas

$230 Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended