Military Action Predictions & Odds· 430 markets

H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

56%

September 29

$91k Vol.
$952 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

65%

September 21

$156k Vol.
$443 Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

15%

October 31

$376k Vol.
$51k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

83%

September 26

$537k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

33%

December 31

$306k Vol.
$52k Liq.
4
Ends in 8 days
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

74%

October 31

$235k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

19%

December 31

$32k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

14%

December 31

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

13%

December 31

$20k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

74%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

13%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$326k Vol.
$27k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$37k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$151k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

1%

Yes

$511k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

99%

September 22

$105k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

57%

October 31

$50k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

48%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months