Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

33%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$455 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

34%

Steve Witkoff

$745k Vol.
$336k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$319 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$234k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 20

$386k Vol.
$349k Liq.
🔥$307k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

26%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$933 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$577k Liq.
🔥$196k today
573
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

4%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$81k today
Ends in 6 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%

Yes

$99k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$24k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.1m Vol.
$943k Liq.
🔥$189k today
Ends in 12 days
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months