Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.1m Vol.
$550k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$480k Liq.
🔥$228k today
573
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$73.5m Vol.
$258k Liq.
518
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$150k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

71%

2.2 to 2.5M

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

88%

2.2M+

$73k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

23%

October 31

$33k Vol.
$479 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

27%

2.0 - 2.5M

$12k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

3%

Yes

$97k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$197k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months