Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$193k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 2 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.4m Vol.
$705k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72%

March 31

$33.3m Vol.
$552k Liq.
🔥$640k today
670
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$75.0m Vol.
$342k Liq.
🔥$202k today
519
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$190k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

58%

2.2 to 2.5M

$53k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

32%

2.5 - 3.0M

$47k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

99%

2.2M+

$97k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$119k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

14%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$209k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$163k Liq.
🔥$59k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

97%

Tesla

$872 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$96k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months