Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$905k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$823k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$769k Vol.
$86k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$285k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

9%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$13k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

12%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$337 Liq.
2
Ended
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$200k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

8%

Yes

$307k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months