Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 317 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

0%

Yes

$11.2m Vol.
$666k Liq.
🔥$185k today
Ends in 4 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

20%

Yes

$13.3m Vol.
$475k Liq.
🔥$136k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

6%

Yes

$1.0m Vol.
$159k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

81%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$498k Vol.
$257k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

36%

20-24

$19k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$443k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?

44%

20-24

$12k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

10%

10+

$40k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

87%

0-5

$64k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

98%

September 21

$154k Vol.
$32k Liq.
🔥$79k today
4
Ends in 3 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

23%

December 31

$3.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

26%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$946 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

28%

October 31

$865k Vol.
$12k Liq.
49
Ended
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

23%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$40k Liq.
156
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 days
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$34k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

28%

December 31

$9.8m Vol.
$36k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

99%

Nothing

$9k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
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