Lebanon Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

90%

September 21

$522k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

6%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$100k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$264k Liq.
14
Ended
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

22%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$387 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

7%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

30%

Germany

$660k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

11%

Bahrain

$60k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

10%

Lebanon

$800k Vol.
$298k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

14%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$28k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$9k Liq.
24
Ends in 11 days
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

2%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

15%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$129 Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

11%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$9k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months