Iran Predictions & Odds· 1586 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$2.4m Vol.
$557k Liq.
🔥$218k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$193k today
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.1m Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$108k today
157
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$31.4m Vol.
$308k Liq.
🔥$83k today
295
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$591k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

75%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$991k Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$268k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

77%

December 31, 2026

$23k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$81k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

42%

USA

$17k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$38k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

24%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$45k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$44k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$128k Liq.
432
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

29%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$436 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

28%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran

Sports · Games

Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran

39%

IR Iran

$2k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours