Iran Predictions & Odds· 1583 markets

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$806k Liq.
🔥$667k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

0%

Oman

$6.9m Vol.
$377k Liq.
🔥$472k today
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$556k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$341k Liq.
🔥$179k today
293
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

17%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$374k Liq.
🔥$127k today
157
Ended
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$606k Liq.
🔥$83k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

99%

Steve Witkoff

$937k Vol.
$270k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

36%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$40k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$319k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

12%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$37k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

24%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$51k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

23%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$106k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

36%

October 31

$368k Vol.
$29k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

24%

Yes

$250k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

11%

Yes

$578k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

34%

October 31

$51k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

22%

October 31

$92k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days