Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 667 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

83%

Celina Leão

$17k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

92%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k Vol.
$123k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

31%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$330 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k Vol.
$204k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Bia Kicis

$48k Vol.
$101k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$36k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

58%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$348 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months