Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

53%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$256 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

37%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$217 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

22%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$40k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

2%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$341k Vol.
$31k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$29.6m Vol.
$515k Liq.
🔥$265k today
573
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

59%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$421 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

7%

Yes

$520k Vol.
$12k Liq.
48
Ended
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

75%

October 31

$593k Vol.
$88k Liq.
🔥$69k today
46
Ends in 11 days