Claude Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

31%

September 21

$26k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

October 31

$187k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

72%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$921 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

91%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

61%

Alexandre Daneau

$5k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

94%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Tennis · Sports

ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Clement Lemire

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

lol · Sports

Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

32%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ITF Gubbio: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Andrea De Marchi

Tennis · Sports

ITF Gubbio: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Andrea De Marchi

Pierre Antoine Tailleu

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended