Government Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

95%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$341k Vol.
$46k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$284k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$29.6m Vol.
$519k Liq.
🔥$307k today
573
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

53%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$428 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

63%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

42%

200+

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

46%

200+

$207 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$293k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$219k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months