Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 667 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$271k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

86%

Celina Leão

$17k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

91%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k Vol.
$127k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

41%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$529 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 days
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$326 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

8%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$251 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

26%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$23k Liq.
🔥$100k today
19
Ends in 7 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

63%

200+

$857 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days