Openai Predictions & Odds· 263 markets

O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$49k Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$405k Vol.
$9k Liq.
41
Ends in 3 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$46k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$264k Vol.
$25k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$107k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$223k Vol.
$39k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

80%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

Anthropic

$382k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m Vol.
$137k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

84%

September 24

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$84k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

21%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

53%

November 30

$17k Vol.
$722 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months