Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1243 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 days
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$15 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$87k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

28%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$12k Liq.
🔥$52k today
22
Ends in 6 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

43%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$483 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

17%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$103 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

54%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$44k Vol.
$268k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

13%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months