Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1243 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

50%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

4%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 days
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$109k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by...?

Trump renames AI by...?

52%

December 31

$311k Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$82k today
26
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

45%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$478 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

12%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$105 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

54%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$44k Vol.
$226k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

11%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months