US Government Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$37k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$177k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

36%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$805 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.9m Vol.
$386k Liq.
🔥$752k today
602
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

37%

No Meeting by December 31

$55 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$573k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

49%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$433 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$26k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months