Crypto Legal Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

14%

Yes

$21k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
T
Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

89%

>$2B

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$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 2T

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R
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

8%

Yes

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T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

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19
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W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times

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W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

91%

China

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W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

8%

October 31

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D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

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L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

8%

Upbit

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N
NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?

8%

Yes

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W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

17%

Alex Padilla

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E
Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

66%

Kraken

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1
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C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

6%

Yes

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15
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W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

Yes

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9
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O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

28%

Yes

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M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

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4
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