US Iran Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 20

$1.2m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$821k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

84%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$852k Liq.
🔥$150k today
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$429k Liq.
🔥$65k today
156
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

61%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$759k Vol.
$324k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$23k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$283k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

16%

October 31

$356k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 11 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$166k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.8m Vol.
$468k Liq.
🔥$301k today
576
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%

Yes

$67.4m Vol.
$574k Liq.
🔥$352k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$528 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

33%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months