Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$110k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

40%

$ANTH

$108k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

79%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

7%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

15%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$279 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

47%

November 2026

$251k Vol.
$55k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

84%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

63%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$283k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

200+

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$330 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

54%

160-179

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

51%

200+

$474 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days