Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 157 markets

M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

21%

Yes

$333 Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$136k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

3%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

21%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$35k Liq.
369
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$76k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended
[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
S
Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

NPP

$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
P
Penalty Props

Penalties · Super Bowl LIX

Penalty Props

More Penalties?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
A
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Poker warning · Sports

Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Yes

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

$3.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
Ended
N
Netherlands General Election: Which party will win the most seats?

PVV

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
B
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

No

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pakistan Election: Who will be next Prime Minister?

Other

$196k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
C
Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended
C
California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Adam Schiff

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
C
California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$3.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
48
Ended