Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$115k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

50%

$ANTH

$110k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

79%

December 31

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

6%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

14%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$279 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

48%

November 2026

$253k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

81%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

65%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$243k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

52%

200+

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$358 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$4k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$178k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year