Uk Labour Leadership Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

H
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

UK · Labour

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

86%

2

$141k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

49%

June 30

$81k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$666 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$277k Vol.
$18k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

68%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

41%

0.4–0.5%

$21k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$92k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

6%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next UK by-election called by…?

Next UK by-election called by…?

40%

December 31

$124 Vol.
$470 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

41%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

5%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$18k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

90%

San Diego, CA

$36k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

13%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

32%

35-40%

$4k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

$2k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$165k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year