Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$914k Liq.
217
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$768k Vol.
$104k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$823k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$22k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$273k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

5%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$16k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

6%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$16k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

27%

Yes

$64k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

December 31

$238k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?

27%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$650 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?

deprecgeopolitcs · Ukraine Map

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?

7%

Yes

$115k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days