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Government Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

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A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Politics·US Election

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$76k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Politics·house

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Politics·shutdown

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$265k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

Politics·All

Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

No

$125k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

Politics·All

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
W
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?

All

Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Politics·Trump

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

1+ day

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Politics·Trump

Government shutdown on Saturday?

No

$13.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Politics·Minnesota Unrest

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

1+ day

$23.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government shutdown Saturday?

Politics·Parent For Derivative

US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes

$157.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What day will the Government Shutdown end?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

What day will the Government Shutdown end?

November 13

$31.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,161
Ended
W
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Yes

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
62
U
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Politics·Trump

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

No

$341k Vol.
$0 Liq.
140
Ended
W
Will the Government shutdown end by...?

Politics·Congress

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 15

$12.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
169
Ended
N
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Trump · Trump Presidency

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

No

$98k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
When will the Government shutdown end?

Culture·Gov Shutdown

When will the Government shutdown end?

November 12-15

$40.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
506
Ended
W
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?

No

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the Government shutdown end?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

When will the Government shutdown end?

October 15 or later

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
686
Ended
F
Funding lapse without government shutdown?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Funding lapse without government shutdown?

No

$207k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

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Popular Government Shutdown Predictions

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?Government shutdown by October 1?

New Government Shutdown Predictions

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?Government shutdown by October 1?