US Government Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$40k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$330k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

37%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$768 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$611k Liq.
🔥$246k today
595
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$340 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

50%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$434 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

72%

March 31, 2027

$11.9m Vol.
$268k Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 6 months