Pete Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
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Ends in 6 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.3m Liq.
🔥$488k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$206k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$113k today
463
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

81%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
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W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

36%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
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W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

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V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
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4
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Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
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1
Ends in almost 2 years
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
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Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
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W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?

No

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
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W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?

John Curtis

$315k Vol.
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8
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

No

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Ended