No No Predictions & Odds· 100317 markets

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$73.5m Vol.
$264k Liq.
518
Ends in 3 months
P
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

28%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$97k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
M
MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

MLB · Pitching

MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

51%

2+

$2k Vol.
$487 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: No Surrender vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
$100 Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ended
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

70%

Nicolás Maduro

$96.9m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$747k today
413
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

88%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.2m Vol.
$866k Liq.
🔥$190k today
Ends in 11 days
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

56%

25 bps increase

$7.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$117k today
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$78k today
121
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$361k Vol.
$594k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$667k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$19k Vol.
$169k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

42%

September 21

$29k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days