Kharg Island Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$73.7m Vol.
$197k Liq.
519
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
P
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

24%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

96%

September 21

$33k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.8m Vol.
$520k Liq.
🔥$242k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

27%

October 31

$67k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

28%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

3%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

20%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$228 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$877 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$371k Vol.
$44k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

March 31

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 12)

Make America Great Again

$190k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended