Opus Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

97%

December 31

$228k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

38%

September 22

$32k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

50%

Game A

$36k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
T
The Game Awards: Best Narrative

The Game Awards: Best Narrative

50%

Game A

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

71%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$960 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

48%

GoldRashers

$261 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: TenToesDown vs penazoid (BO1) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

50%

TenToesDown

$13 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A
$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36