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Opus Predictions & Odds· 196 markets

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N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released on...?

31%

September 21

$26k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

October 31

$186k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

Culture·Games

The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

50%

Game A

$36k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Best Narrative

Culture·Games

The Game Awards: Best Narrative

50%

Game A

$20k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Monastir: Kirils Sokolovs vs Justino Rodrigues

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Kirils Sokolovs vs Justino Rodrigues

49%

Kirils Sokolovs

$0 Vol.
$244 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

72%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$920 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Monastir: Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi vs Tanapatt Nirundorn

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi vs Tanapatt Nirundorn

50%

Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi

$0 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Benoit Torcq vs William Norton

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Benoit Torcq vs William Norton

49%

Benoit Torcq

$0 Vol.
$178 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
G
Genoa 2: Sergi Fita Juan vs John Sperle

Tennis · Sports

Genoa 2: Sergi Fita Juan vs John Sperle

51%

Sergi Fita Juan

$0 Vol.
$189 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Tech·Debut

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36

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Popular Opus Predictions

Next Claude Opus released on...?Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

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Next Claude Opus released on...?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus released by...?