Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

23%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$414 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

84%

December 31

$240k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

47%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$213 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

70%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

31%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$769k Vol.
$82k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$756k Vol.
$293k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$9k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

7%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$15k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

62%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

10%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

88%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.2m Vol.
$845k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in 11 days
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

9%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

46%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$66k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%

Yes

$350k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.7m Vol.
$459k Liq.
🔥$334k today
576
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$685 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
E
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

17%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months