Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.1m Vol.
$677k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$297k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$29.4m Vol.
$586k Liq.
🔥$144k today
570
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$73.5m Vol.
$348k Liq.
🔥$52k today
518
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$225k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

88%

2.2M+

$72k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

67%

2.2 to 2.5M

$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

28%

October 31

$33k Vol.
$564 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

27%

2.0 - 2.5M

$12k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 12 days
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%

Yes

$97k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 12 days
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$234k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$422 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$796k Liq.
🔥$412k today
1,090
Ends in 9 months