Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 223 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.4m Vol.
$51.8m Liq.
🔥$615k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.5m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$315k today
1,036
Ends in over 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

77%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$965k Vol.
$187k Liq.
🔥$108k today
Ends in 9 months
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

58%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.4m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$88k today
450
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

29%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

54%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$287k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$913k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$401k Vol.
$274k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Hegseth say during press conference on April 8?

God is Good

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

$379k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
202
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Hegseth say during Fox interview?

Trump 5+ times

$329k Vol.
$0 Liq.
83
Ended