Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

37%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$197 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

54%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$230 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

2%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$19k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

26%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$40k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$50k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.7m Vol.
$470k Liq.
🔥$329k today
576
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

52%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$430 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

56%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

7%

Yes

$520k Vol.
$11k Liq.
48
Ended
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

71%

October 31

$658k Vol.
$111k Liq.
🔥$89k today
44
Ends in 11 days