Funding Predictions & Odds· 255 markets

C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

36%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$272k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

62%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

67%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$761 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

67%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

45%

Yes

$782 Vol.
$268 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

6%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

71%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$5k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Senate pass funding bill by...?

September 30

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
A
Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

June 30

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 9

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended