Referenda Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

36%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$118 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

19%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$653 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

69%

VAT federal decree

$8k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
P
PPA - Women's Singles: Isabella Dunlap vs Ewa Radzikowska

Sports · Pickleball

PPA - Women's Singles: Isabella Dunlap vs Ewa Radzikowska

50%

Dunlap

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

Yes

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

80–85%

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

No 3–6%

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Guinea-Bissau Constitutional Referendum

Passes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
2
2026 Slovakia Referendum: What will pass?

Cancelling politician annuity

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act

$774k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended