Sam Altman Predictions & Odds· 192 markets

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Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

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TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

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Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

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20
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What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

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What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

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OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

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Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

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Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

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Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

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Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

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Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

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Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

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Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

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Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

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Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

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Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

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Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

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Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

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Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

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Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

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Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

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Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

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Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

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Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

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Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No

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What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Polymarket / Bet

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Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

No

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